JJ's Canary Leverage, Lit | HTX mod | No K-1
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based plan that goes 3x Nasdaq in healthy markets, steps down to 2x when trends soften, and in fragile times uses RSI to shift into volatility, bargain 3x equity, or the strongest safe havens (Treasuries, gold/commodities, utilities/oil, dollar).
First, a canary: if the TIPS bond fund (TIP) is up over ~3 months, conditions are normal; if not, fragile.
Normal: if emerging markets (VWO) trend up, hold 3x Nasdaq (TQQQ); else use 2x Nasdaq/S&P (QLD/SSO).
Fragile: use RSI (a quick heat meter) on the S&P 500—overheated (>75): hold VXX (vol). Washed‑out (<30): buy the most beaten‑down of 3x S&P, 3x Tech, or short‑term Treasuries. Otherwise, own the 3 strongest safe havens (long Treasuries, gold/commodities, utilities/oil, US dollar).
This rules-based strategy aims for bigger upside than the S&P by riding 3x Nasdaq in bull markets, plus RSI-driven hedges and safe-haven rotations in stress. Out-of-sample annualized return: ~39.7% vs SPY ~22.7%, with higher drawdowns (≈57%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.51 | 1.89 | 0.55 | 0.74 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 178.11% | 13.45% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.75 | |
| 21,259.55% | 93.86% | 3.44% | 1.06% | 1.59 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,135,955.24Regulatory Fees
$4,456.62
Total Slippage
$27,049.59
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 19, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, trend/momentum, rsi, volatility hedge, safe havens, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 22 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEO
iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks