JJ's Canary Leverage, Lit | HTX mod | No K-1
Today’s Change (Sep 22, 2026)
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About
A rules‑driven, two‑mode approach: in calm times it uses leveraged equity funds for growth; when conditions weaken, an RSI “hot/cold” check either hedges with volatility or rotates into the strongest safe‑havens to limit drawdowns.
Traffic‑light rules.
1) Health check: If inflation‑protected Treasuries (TIP) are up over ~3 months, go on offense: if the 1‑yr trend is strong, buy TQQQ (3× Nasdaq); otherwise split QLD (2× Nasdaq) and SSO (2× S&P).
2) Warning: If TIP is weak, use an RSI “hot/cold” gauge on SPY: >75 → VXX (volatility hedge); <30 → buy the most oversold of UPRO (3× S&P), TECL (3× Tech), or SHY (1–3y Treasuries); else hold the 3 strongest safe‑havens (TMF=long Treasuries, PDBC=commodities, GLD=gold, IEO=oil & gas, XLU=utilities, USDU=US dollar).
Out-of-sample: 41.16% vs 21.07% for SPY; higher upside but larger drawdowns (57.45% vs 18.76%). Calmar ~0.717. Regime-switching, hedged-leveraged strategy targets equity-like gains with risk controls—bigger upside, but also bigger drawdowns than SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.49 | 1.91 | 0.55 | 0.74 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216.42% | 14.24% | 1.27% | 4.17% | 0.79 | |
| 28,442.35% | 92.24% | -1.99% | -6.44% | 1.57 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,854,235.01Regulatory Fees
$4,982.69
Total Slippage
$38,209.49
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 19, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, momentum, rsi, volatility hedge, safe-haven rotation, regime switching
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 22 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEO
iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks