Jason's Overcompensating Safety Checks for TQQQs | Happier Wife Version (public)
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules‑based TQQQ strategy with many safety rails: ride tech uptrends, hedge or de‑risk when overbought, buy dips when deeply oversold, and retreat to bonds or cash in selloffs. Uses filters to favor winners but cap drawdowns.
Goal: ride tech uptrends, cut losses fast, and hide in safe assets when risk spikes.
- When the market is healthy (broad index above its 200‑day average) and short‑term strength beats long‑term strength, it holds 3x tech bulls (mainly TQQQ; sometimes TECL/SOXL/UPRO).
- If things look overbought, it adds a volatility hedge (VIXY/UVXY) or steps down risk (PSQ).
- If prices get very oversold (RSI ~30 or lower), it buys the dip in 3x bulls.
- If trend breaks (e.g., TQQQ drops under its 20‑day average) it flips to inverse QQQ (SQQQ) or Treasuries (TLT/IEF), whichever is acting stronger; big drops kick it to T‑bills (BIL).
- A selector prefers recent winners but avoids the most volatile or biggest drawdowns.
RSI is a simple “speedometer” of recent price moves: high=hot, low=cold.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers stronger risk-adjusted returns than the S&P: Sharpe 1.59 vs 1.30, Calmar 2.52, annualized return ~86% vs ~24%. Expect larger drawdowns (~34%) in downturns, but hedges and defensive positions help protect capital.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.11 | 0.75 | 0.1 | 0.32 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 323.37% | 15.04% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.87 | |
| 12,763,308.65% | 213.08% | 1.33% | 7.01% | 2.95 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,276,340,864.82Regulatory Fees
$1,606,849.26
Total Slippage
$11,497,300.27
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 7, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend-following, momentum, volatility filter, leveraged etfs, risk-managed growth
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 26 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
NAIL
Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SOXX
iShares Semiconductor ETF
Stocks