Jason's Overcompensating Safety Checks for TQQQs | Happier Wife Version (public)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Aggressive, rules-based tech strategy: own 3× Nasdaq (TQQQ) when trends look healthy; otherwise step aside to cash, inverse QQQ, volatility funds, or Treasuries. Many safety checks aim to capture big gains while cutting deep drawdowns.
Goal: ride big tech uptrends using TQQQ (a 3× Nasdaq-100 fund), but bail out fast when danger pops up. Each day it checks: is the market in an uptrend (price above long‑term average)? Are prices “hot” or “cold” (a speedometer called RSI)? Is volatility rising or falling? If good, it holds TQQQ; if not, it shifts to cash (BIL), inverse Nasdaq (PSQ/SQQQ), volatility hedges (VIXY/UVXY), or Treasuries (TLT/IEF). It blends many small rule-sets and picks steadier recent winners.
Out-of-sample, this tech-driven strategy beats the S&P on risk-adjusted growth: Sharpe ~1.59 vs 1.30, Calmar ~2.48, and annualized return ~84.6% vs 23.7%, with higher drawdowns (~34% vs ~19%), mitigated by active risk controls.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 7, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, momentum, risk management, volatility hedging, daily rebalance, tech-heavy
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 26 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
NAIL
Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXX
iShares Semiconductor ETF
Stocks