Jason's Overcompensating Safety Checks for TQQQs | Happier Wife Version (public)
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A very aggressive market-timing strategy built around TQQQ. It tries to ride big tech uptrends, but uses many safety checks to switch into hedges, bearish funds, bonds, or cash when markets look dangerous.
This strategy is mostly trying to own TQQQ, a fund that aims to magnify daily moves in the Nasdaq-100 by about 3x.
Each day it asks: Is the market trend healthy? Is tech too hot? Is momentum strong or weak? If conditions look good, it leans into TQQQ or other aggressive tech funds. If conditions look risky, it can switch to bearish funds, Treasury bonds, cash-like T-bills, or volatility funds that may rise during market panic.
Out-of-sample edge: ~60% annualized return vs 21% for S&P, Sharpe ~1.32 vs 1.26, Calmar ~1.76. Higher risk-adjusted upside with built-in hedges and regime-switching. Expect stronger upside while accepting larger drawdowns in crises.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.03 | 0.79 | 0.11 | 0.34 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 376.92% | 15.17% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.89 | |
| 14,193,229.49% | 192.31% | 0.32% | 8.25% | 2.8 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,419,332,949.43Regulatory Fees
$2,070,260.57
Total Slippage
$19,855,508.87
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 7, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged equity, tactical asset allocation, nasdaq, trend-following, mean-reversion, risk-management, volatility hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 26 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
NAIL
Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXX
iShares Semiconductor ETF
Stocks