Jason's Overcompensating Safety Checks for TQQQs | Happier Wife Version 5/5/25 No VOX XLP check
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily trading strategy that aggressively buys leveraged tech when market signals look favorable, but can quickly switch into bearish funds, volatility hedges, bonds, or cash when conditions look risky.
This strategy is a hyper-active market switcher built mostly around TQQQ, a fund that aims to magnify the daily moves of the Nasdaq-100 by about 3x.
Each day it asks: Is the market trend healthy? Has tech gone up too fast? Has it fallen hard? Based on that, it chooses between aggressive tech bets (TQQQ, TECL, SOXL), defensive positions that rise when tech falls (PSQ, SQQQ), panic hedges (UVXY, VIXY), bonds, or cash-like T-bills (BIL).
It runs many versions of these checks at once, then currently leans toward the versions that have been less volatile recently.
Out-of-sample, the strategy targets ~19% annualized returns vs ~16% for the S&P, powered by leveraged Nasdaq tech bets. Expect higher drawdowns (~20% vs ~9%), but with adaptive hedges and rotation designed to manage risk and aim faster compounding.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.83 | 0.12 | 0.35 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 376.92% | 15.17% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.89 | |
| 10,804,280.2% | 185.19% | -0.95% | 7.97% | 2.71 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,080,438,019.95Regulatory Fees
$1,516,828.65
Total Slippage
$14,522,995.66
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 15, 2026
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged equities, nasdaq-focused, trend-following, mean-reversion, volatility hedging, risk-off rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 26 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
NAIL
Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXX
iShares Semiconductor ETF
Stocks