ISH PICKS - SPXL/S + S/TQQQ vs BIL + SHY w/sideways recession 2month BULL lagtime 34%AR/27%SD/30%DD, 15% threshhold
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A rules-based, risk-on/risk-off plan: ride bull runs with 3× stock index funds (SPXL/TQQQ), retreat to cash-like Treasuries (BIL/SHV/SHY) when trends weaken, with crash stops and an occasional bearish semiconductor hedge (SOXS).
Goal: use leverage in clear uptrends, go cash-like in downturns.
- Uptrend: put most into the stronger of SPXL (3× S&P 500) or TQQQ (3× Nasdaq‑100), chosen by a recent‑strength score (RSI: how strongly it has risen lately), plus small slices of AVGO (chips), JNJ (healthcare), PG (staples).
- Down/uncertain: hold BIL/SHV/SHY (T‑bills/short Treasuries).
- Safeguards: fast‑drop stop, trend checks, occasional SOXS (3× bearish semis).
Out-of-sample upside is strong: ~57.8% annualized vs 22.0% for the S&P, with Sharpe ~1.88 and Calmar ~7.15. Uses trend-based leverage and fast risk-off to Treasuries for superior risk-adjusted gains; expect higher drawdowns in downturns.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 8, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 15%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, momentum, risk-on/risk-off, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AVGO
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
Stocks
PG
Procter & Gamble Company
Stocks
RTX
RTX Corporation
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks