Inverse Volatility with TECL
Today’s Change (Apr 4, 2026)
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About
Seeks smoother returns from very fast-moving stock funds by giving bigger weights to the calmer ones over the past ~5 weeks and smaller weights to the bumpier ones. Rebalanced monthly. Optional gold can cushion declines but tends to reduce returns.
Each month it spreads money across five funds that track US stocks at 3x speed: UPRO (S&P 500), UDOW (Dow 30), TQQQ (big tech via Nasdaq-100), TECL (broad tech), SOXL (chipmakers). It checks the last ~25 trading days. The bumpier a fund has been (“volatility”), the smaller its slice; the calmer, the larger. Weights are scaled to 100% and reset monthly. Optional: adding a bit of UGL (2x gold) can soften drops but usually trims returns.
Out-of-sample: ~45% annualized return vs ~20% for the S&P, with Calmar ~0.83. It tilts to calmer 3x bets to damp volatility, but drawdowns can exceed 50% and leverage magnifies risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0 | 3.2 | 0.96 | 0.98 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 631.38% | 13.3% | -4.19% | -3.74% | 0.81 | |
| 8,823.19% | 32.55% | -13.47% | -13.91% | 0.79 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$892,319.16Regulatory Fees
$82.72
Total Slippage
$436.80
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 19, 2023
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility targeting,inverse volatility,risk parity,leveraged equity etfs,us stocks,technology-heavy,monthly rebalance