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Inverse- Hold or Invest|8d IEF RSI vs 45d PSQ RSI + KMLM RSI
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A daily, contrarian allocation to two inverse ETFs (LABD and TMV) targeting biotech and long-term Treasuries declines. It uses RSI momentum checks (IEF vs PSQ; LABD/TMV vs KMLM) plus a 20-day volatility filter to pick two low-volatility candidates, with 25% cash and the rest split between the two. High risk due to 3x leverage and daily rebalancing.
NutHow it works
This strategy runs every day. It first checks if bond momentum (IEF RSI over 8 days) is weaker than tech-bear momentum (PSQ RSI over 45 days). If yes, it considers two inverse bets: LABD (bear biotech) and TMV (bear long-term Treasuries). For each, it asks: is its momentum (RSI over 20 days) weaker than a momentum benchmark (KMLM RSI over 10 days)? If true, that asset stays in the pool; otherwise it is replaced by cash (BIL) in that slot. Then it looks at the volatility of the candidates over the last ~20 days and picks the two least volatile assets. The final position weights are: 25% cash, and the remaining 75% split evenly between the two chosen assets. If conditions fail, cash exposure remains higher. This approach emphasizes contrarian bets on LABD and TMV when their momentum is relatively weak compared to KMLM, while trying to avoid the most volatile picks by choosing the two least volatile among eligible assets.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample edge: ~31% annual return vs SPY 19%, drawdown ~15% vs 19%, Sharpe ~1.37 vs ~1.14, Calmar ~2.04. A tactical, leveraged tilt to biotech/bonds aims for higher risk-adjusted upside with downside protection vs the S&P 500.

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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 18, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Inverse bear-etfs, rsi momentum, volatility filter, biotech/bonds exposure, tactical allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
LABD
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toTMVandLABD. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 37.72%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 15.17%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.