Inside Nancy Pelosi's Chips- 86 Nvidia sub $TEM & $VST
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rule-based, semiconductor-focused strategy that uses short-term momentum and mean-reversion signals, levered ETFs (SOXL/SOXS), and a dynamic top-2 asset filter to overweight a small set of chip-related assets. It combines RSI signals and moving-average checks to time entries, with a cash-equal base and limited rebalancing.
Plain-language overview:
- The strategy concentrates on semiconductors and a few related stocks/ETFs. It mainly keeps cash equal across its exposures rather than sizing everything at once.
- It uses short-term momentum signals on the semiconductor group (SOXX) to decide if the sector looks overextended in either direction.
- If SOXX showed a strong 5-day gain (> about 5%), the system shifts toward hedged/mean-reversion bets in the semiconductor space (using SOXS for bearish bets and SOXL for bullish bets when other checks agree).
- When signals point to possible mean reversion, it leans into bearish bets (SOXS) or bullish bets (SOXL) depending on which asset trails the signals.
- There is a specialized sub-block that looks at Tempus AI (TEM) and Vistra (VST) signals, using RSI (a momentum/overbought-oversold measure) to decide whether to tilt toward certain semiconductor plays (<- this adds a behavior layer that considers other names beyond SOXX).
- A “Top” asset-filter selects two assets from a pool (SOXX, TEM, VST, AMD, XLE, ENPH) based on how much they have gained over the last 90 days, and those top assets are overweighted for that period.
- The pool of assets includes a mix of chipmakers, an AI-related stock (TEM), an energy name (XLE), and other related techs (ENPH, AMD, VST).
- Rebalancing is not frequent (rebalance corridor width is small, 3%), and the strategy explicitly specifies an equity-only exposure framework. It’s built as a layered decision tree: each “IF” can trigger another level of checks before a position is taken.
- In short: it attempts to ride semiconductor momentum, use short-term overbought/oversold signals to time entries/exits, and dynamically overweight the strongest performers while hedging with 3x bear/bull semiconductor ETFs when conditions suggest a reversal is likely. Warning: leverage magnifies risk, and RSI thresholds like 90 are extreme, so drawdowns can be sharp if markets move quickly.
Out-of-sample, this chip-focused strategy delivers better risk-adjusted returns than the S&P (Sharpe ~1.19 vs ~0.91, α ~0.57; Calmar ~2.53) using top-chip tilt and SOXL/SOXS hedges with cash-equal, low turnover (drawdowns can spike).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.44 | 2.78 | 0.33 | 0.58 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.43% | 11.61% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.71 | |
| 84.16% | 55.41% | 6.84% | 19.58% | 0.92 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$18,415.96Regulatory Fees
$46.43
Total Slippage
$294.51
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 29, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 3%
Type
Stocks
Category
Equities, momentum, sector-specific, leveraged etfs, rule-based
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
ENPH
Enphase Energy, Inc.
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXX
iShares Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TEM
Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
VST
Vistra Corp.
Stocks
XLE
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks