Inflation Spiral Hedge
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Defaults to QQQ. If a rising‑rates gauge (TBT) jumps ≥10% over ~60 days, it rotates into a 50% fixed inflation basket and 50% in the single most volatile pick from that list (plus QQQ). Rebalanced daily.
It watches TBT (a fund that goes up when long‑term US Treasury bonds fall). If TBT rose ≥10% in the last ~60 days, it assumes inflation/rising rates. Then: 50% goes to an inflation mix—DBC (broad commodities), GLD (gold), TBF (short long‑term Treasuries), XLE (oil/gas stocks), XLV (healthcare). The other 50% goes to whichever of those (plus QQQ, big tech/growth) had the biggest price swings over the last 14 days. Otherwise it holds QQQ. Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample edge: 21.25% annualized vs 20.81% S&P, with inflation hedges (commodities, gold, energy) and adaptive regime switching. Diversified inflation exposure with upside; note larger drawdowns than the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07 | 1 | 0.77 | 0.88 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 761.98% | 13.96% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.85 | |
| 2,357.1% | 21.44% | 0.33% | 1.02% | 1.09 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$245,710.17Regulatory Fees
$522.34
Total Slippage
$3,319.02
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 5, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Macro, inflation hedge, commodities, gold, energy, healthcare, short treasuries, tactical, regime switching, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
TBF
ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF
Stocks
TBT
ProShares Trust UltraShort Lehman 20+ Year Treasury
Stocks
XLE
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLV
State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks