Inflation Spiral Hedge
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Default to QQQ. If long‑term bond prices are plunging (inflation stress), switch to a mix of commodities, gold, energy, healthcare, and a short‑Treasury fund, plus a 1‑asset sleeve that rides the most volatile mover. Daily checks and rebalancing.
Each day it checks a “thermometer” for inflation stress: TBT, an ETF that rises when long‑term Treasury bonds fall. If TBT is up ~10% over 60 days, it splits the portfolio: half in an inflation‑hedge mix (commodities, gold, energy, healthcare, and a fund that shorts long Treasuries) and half in whichever of those (or QQQ) has been the choppiest over the last 2 weeks. If there’s no stress signal, it holds QQQ. Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample: 21.25% annualized return vs SPY 20.81%. Inflation-hedge mix (commodities, gold, energy, short Treasuries) plus a volatility sleeve aims for higher upside and diversification when inflation spikes, with disciplined daily rebalancing.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07 | 1 | 0.77 | 0.88 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 780.4% | 14.14% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.86 | |
| 2,387.4% | 21.58% | 0.83% | -1.43% | 1.1 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$248,740.26Regulatory Fees
$522.34
Total Slippage
$3,319.02
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 5, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Inflation hedge, regime switching, commodities, gold, short treasuries, sector rotation, volatility-based sleeve
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
TBF
ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF
Stocks
TBT
ProShares Trust UltraShort Lehman 20+ Year Treasury
Stocks
XLE
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLV
State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks