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Inflation Spiral Hedge
Today’s Change

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About

A rules‑based “inflation alarm” portfolio: if long‑term rates are surging, it shifts into commodities, gold, energy, healthcare, and short long‑bonds (plus a big tilt to the most active asset). Otherwise, it stays in QQQ (big US tech).
NutHow it works
Each day it asks: are long‑term Treasury prices plunging? It checks if TBT (a fund that rises when long bonds fall) is up ≥10% over ~3 months. If yes: 50% in DBC (commodities), GLD (gold), TBF (short long Treasuries), XLE (energy), XLV (healthcare), and 50% in whichever of those (or QQQ: big US tech) moved most in 2 weeks. If no: 100% QQQ. Rebalances daily.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample edge: ~20.5% annualized return with strong risk-adjusted metrics, enabled by inflation hedges (commodities, gold, energy, healthcare, short Treasuries) and a tech tilt in calm markets. Slightly higher drawdowns vs. the S&P, but bigger upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
Alpha
Beta
R2
R
0.07
1
0.77
0.88
Performance Metrics
Cumulative Return
Annualized Return
Trailing 1M Return
Trailing 3M Return
Sharpe Ratio
752.88%
14.18%
0.19%
3.76%
0.86
2,345.7%
21.87%
-0.04%
4.72%
1.11
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$244,569.59
Regulatory Fees
$498.91
Total Slippage
$3,219.77
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 5, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Inflation hedge, commodities, gold, energy, healthcare, short treasuries, tactical, volatility tilt, qqq, rules-based, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 0 assets in total
Ticker
Type