Inflation Protected Simple Beta Baller Signal | IEF>IBTK (Other IBT*, SPTI ,SCHQ are related) & SHY>SBND (IBTF, ITBG, ITBE are related)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A daily, high‑octane strategy that’s mostly in 3x semiconductors when bonds say “risk‑on,” briefly parks in short Treasuries if stocks are overheated, and may flip to inverse or defensive plays at extremes. Very high risk/drawdowns.
Daily, it uses a simple “hot/cold” score (RSI) on bonds and stocks.
If longer Treasuries outrun T‑bills, it rides 3x semiconductors (SOXL); if the S&P 500 looks too hot, it parks in short Treasuries (SHY).
In risk‑off, it may switch to 3x inverse semis or to 3x tech (TECL), choosing the most “oversold.”
If inflation‑protected bonds (VTIP) trend strongly, it instead buys one oversold defensive pick (healthcare, staples, long Treasuries, gold, or silver).
Rebalances daily. “3x” ≈ triple the daily move.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe ~2.37, Calmar ~8.9, alpha ~1.39 vs the S&P. Low beta (~0.76) offers big upside in risk-on regimes with a RSI-driven semis tilt. Higher drawdowns can occur in stress, but potential for far stronger returns.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 6, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, semiconductors, rsi momentum, tactical allocation, daily rebalance, risk-on/risk-off, trend filter, defensive rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGQ
ProShares Ultra Silver
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
HIBL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
IBTK
iShares iBonds Dec 2030 Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
SBND
Columbia Short Duration Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks