Inflation Protected Simple Beta Baller Signal | IEF>IBTK (Other IBT*, SPTI ,SCHQ are related) & SHY>SBND (IBTF, ITBG, ITBE are related)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A high‑octane, semiconductor‑first system that uses simple hot/cold gauges and bond‑market cues to: ride 3x semis (SOXL), briefly park in short Treasuries (SHY), flip to inverse funds (SOXS/SQQQ) in stress, or rotate into defensives/hedges (staples, healthcare, long Treasuries, gold/silver).
Daily, it reads a few simple “hot/cold” gauges (RSI = a quick 0–100 read of how hot or cold recent price moves are).
1) If short‑term inflation‑protected Treasuries (VTIP) are strong and trending up, it buys one beaten‑down defensive/hedge ETF: consumer staples (UGE), healthcare (CURE), long Treasuries (TMF), gold (UGL), or silver (AGQ).
2) Otherwise it focuses on semiconductors: if longer Treasuries look stronger than cash‑like T‑bills, it rides SOXL unless the S&P 500 is too hot (then it parks in SHY). If bonds look stronger than stocks, it flips to inverse ETFs (SOXS/SQQQ); if stocks look stronger, it buys a beaten‑down SOXL or TECL.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~288% annualized return vs SPY’s ~28%, with beta ~0.76 and Sharpe ~2.37—Calmar ~8.9. Higher upside with discipline; note ~32% drawdowns in stress.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 6, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Semiconductors, leveraged etfs, tactical, momentum, mean reversion, bond signals, risk-on/risk-off, daily
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGQ
ProShares Ultra Silver
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
HIBL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
IBTK
iShares iBonds Dec 2030 Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
SBND
Columbia Short Duration Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks