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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A four-tier, rule-based strategy that times entries into levered/inverse ETFs and tech/volatility bets using short-term momentum (RSI on QQQ) and a price signal (KMLM vs. its 20-day avg). It selects one asset (top by recent volatility) per signal, with equal initial weights inside each risk group, and cash-like ballast in the Jason Level. Highly speculative and intended for understanding structure rather than a recommendation.
What it does in plain language:
- The strategy has four risk modes: High, Medium, Low, and Jason Level. Each mode has a different set of potential assets (mostly leveraged/unlevered tech and volatility ETFs, plus a cash-like option).
- It watches short-term signals: a momentum gauge on QQQ (RSI) and a price signal on KMLM relative to its 20-day average. If QQQ looks extremely strong (RSI above 82) and KMLM is below its short-term average, it proceeds to consider assets in that risk mode.
- Within a mode, assets are considered and then weighted equally. A ranking step looks at recent volatility (how choppy the asset’s returns have been over ~10 days), and the top candidate is selected to be invested in fully (100% weight).
- The assets include popular tech proxies (QQQ, TQQQ, QID, PSQ), Nvidia-related trackers (NVDA, NVDX), and volatility/market-timing products (UVIX, UVXY, VIXY, UVXY, SOXS, TECS, QID, PSQ), plus a cash-like ETF (BIL) used in the Jason Level as a stabilizer. A few ticker meanings are explained below.
- Final exposure is typically to a single asset (top-ranked) per signal, not a diversified basket at once, due to the select-n=1 rule. Some groups explicitly allow multiple assets in the set, but the ultimate selection is the top one. The language also shows a preference for “top by standard deviation of returns,” meaning it tends to pick more volatile instruments when a signal fires.
- The corridor width and non-rebalancing flag indicate a cautious approach to tweaking positions between signals; positions only change when the rule set triggers anew.
What the tickers represent (quick guide below) helps you understand potential bets and risks.
Note: this is a high-risk, educational description of a complex, rule-based system and is not financial advice.
An opportunistic, rule-based sleeve that targets short-term momentum and volatility bets in leveraged tech ETFs, with a cash ballast. It offers positive out-of-sample alpha and diversification to a core S&P 500, serving as a tactical satellite rather than a core replacement.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.63 | 1.2 | 0.05 | 0.22 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60.22% | 22.18% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 1.36 | |
| 3,486.76% | 357.81% | -1.08% | 21.66% | 2.22 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$358,676.45Regulatory Fees
$726.43
Total Slippage
$3,999.11
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 16, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
High risk, volatility trading, momentum, multi-asset, levered etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
NVDA
Nvidia Corp
Stocks
NVDX
T-Rex 2X Long NVIDIA Daily Target ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
TECS
Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks