IFF: High Win Rate Tests
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rule-based momentum system using RSI signals on levered ETFs and market proxies to pick a single asset (or cash-like) exposure, with separate lanes for conservative and aggressive entries, aiming for high win rate while preserving risk control through cash/bonds when signals weaken.
- The system tests several signal baskets each day.
- It uses RSI (a momentum gauge) on assets like IOO (broad market), UVXY (volatility), TQQQ, SOXL, TECL (levered tech/semis), LABU (biotech), plus TMF/TMV and BIL (bond/cash proxies).
- If the signals meet strict conditions (e.g., broad market momentum above a threshold and related asset momentum above another threshold), it allocates 100% to a single asset within that lane.
- If signals aren’t favorable, it shifts toward cash-like or safer assets (BIL) or bond proxies (TMF/TMV).
- There are multiple lanes with different risk appetites (Simplified-ish, Very reliable, Original Code), each with its own rule stack and weighting, but most result in a single-asset allocation per day.
- The approach aims for a high win rate by requiring a tight cluster of momentum cues before entry and by offering a safe exit via cash/bonds when momentum fades.
- Ties between assets are avoided by explicit asset-level checks; when a lane triggers, the asset is held until next day’s signals potentially change the allocation.
Rule-based RSI momentum strategy across levered ETFs and proxies, daily rebalanced. OOS return ~23.4% vs SPY ~17.5%, Calmar ~0.85. Attractive upside with larger drawdowns; includes cash/bond safety nets.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 21, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Rule-based momentum, rsi signals, levered etfs, broad-market proxy, volatility/cash/bond legs, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IOO
iShares Global 100 ETF
Stocks
LABU
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TECS
Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks