IFF: High Win Rate Tests
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
All‑in, daily strategy using RSI extremes. Buys UVXY when the market looks overheated; otherwise buys oversold 3x tech/semis/biotech, flips to 3x inverse when too hot, or TMF for bonds; else parks in T‑bills. Very high risk.
RSI is a 0–100 “heat meter” for price moves (>80 very hot, <30 very cold). IOO=global stocks; SPY=S&P 500; TQQQ=3x Nasdaq; UVXY=volatility; SOXL/TECL/LABU=3x bulls (semis/tech/biotech); SOXS/TECS=3x bears; TMF=3x long Treasuries; BIL=T‑bills.
Daily: if the market looks too hot (RSI>80 on IOO/SPY/TQQQ) buy UVXY; else buy oversold bulls (RSI<30/22), or bears when bulls are hot (>80), or TMF if bonds are washed out; else BIL. Trades only if a UVXY‑RSI (~60‑day) vol filter is above ~40.
Out-of-sample: 23.43% vs 17.54% (S&P), driven by volatility/tech/biotech tilts. Higher drawdowns (27.70% vs 18.76%), but Calmar ~0.846 and Sharpe ~0.628 indicate meaningful risk-adjusted upside for higher risk tolerance.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.25 | 0.4 | 0.07 | 0.26 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 280.01% | 13.23% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.78 | |
| 1,717.02% | 30.99% | 0.27% | 0.86% | 1.11 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$181,701.83Regulatory Fees
$208.53
Total Slippage
$1,254.05
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 21, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, daily tactical, mean reversion, volatility hedge, inverse etfs, sector rotation, cash fallback
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IOO
iShares Global 100 ETF
Stocks
LABU
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TECS
Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks