IC The Hawk and The Serpent
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rule-based, multi-asset tactical strategy that alternates between growth-oriented bets and hedges. It uses momentum, volatility, and drawdown signals across stocks, bonds, commodities, and currencies to decide whether to tilt toward leveraged equity exposure or toward safer assets like UUP (dollar), GLD (gold), and defensive sectors.
Plain-language overview:
- It runs every day and looks at a lot of different markets (stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies). It asks: are market conditions favorable for owning risk assets (like growth stocks or leveraged equity bets) or should we hedge and move toward safer assets?
- To decide, it uses signals based on price trends, how volatile prices have been, and how much prices have fallen from recent peaks. It also checks for consistency in momentum over several time windows (short and longer periods).
- If signals say “risk ON,” the plan increases exposure to growth-oriented bets (including leveraged stock proxies that magnify moves up), aiming to capture upside. If signals say “risk OFF,” it reduces growth exposure and tilts toward hedges like the US dollar index, gold, consumer staples, and treasury-related positions.
- The strategy uses a wide set of building blocks (different ETFs and leveraged ETFs) to create a diversified mix. It rebalances daily so the weights adapt to changing signals.
- It’s designed to test for stability (e.g., drawdowns) and to avoid big losses while trying to participate in upswings. It can include ETFs you may not have heard of (like KMLM or others) as part of the broader toolkit.
- Important note: it uses leverage in some parts, which can magnify both gains and losses. This kind of system is sophisticated and inherently carries higher risk than a simple buy-and-hold approach; outcomes depend on how signals perform in real time, not just backtests.
Steadier growth with stronger downside protection. OOS Sharpe ~1.10 vs SPY 1.05; max drawdown 15.4% vs 18.8%; lower beta—delivering better risk-adjusted returns and a calmer ride than the S&P 500 through diversified momentum and hedging.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.44 | 0.28 | 0.14 | 0.37 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 156.45% | 14.99% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.8 | |
| 2,329.15% | 60.51% | 2.69% | 7.16% | 3.17 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$242,914.78Regulatory Fees
$591.28
Total Slippage
$3,583.12
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 28, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, tactical, momentum, risk-managed, hedged
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 126 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
ADBE
Adobe Inc.
Stocks
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
AMGN
Amgen Inc
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
AVGO
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
AXP
American Express Company
Stocks
BA
Boeing Company
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks