i4 - Adaptive All Weather Portfolio v2.1 + Pop Bots l BrianE Mod l Oct 10th 2016
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules-based “all-weather” portfolio: plays short-term bounces with leveraged stock/tech ETFs, hedges overheated rallies with UVXY, and otherwise rotates among Treasuries, the dollar, gold, utilities, and commodities by trend. Very high risk.
Daily rules pick among three sleeves:
1) Pop trades: if stocks look overheated (RSI—a 0–100 “stretched” gauge—is very high), buy UVXY for a brief vol pop; if washed‑out (RSI very low), buy TQQQ/SPXL/SOXL for a bounce.
2) Core rotation: shift among stocks, Treasuries (TLT/TMF/TMV), utilities (XLU), short S&P (SH), dollar (USDU), gold (GLD), and commodities (DBC) using 2–6 month trends and a bond‑curve test (IEF vs TLT).
3) Panic: if fear (VIXY) is extreme, sit in SHY.
Out-of-sample performance shows ~39% annualized return vs SPY’s ~23%, backed by strong risk-adjusted metrics (Calmar ~1.49) and an adaptive, rules-based multi-sleeve design. Higher potential rewards come with greater volatility and drawdowns.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 10, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, volatility hedging, momentum & mean reversion, multi-asset rotation, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks