i1 BrianE's TQQQ 4TLT + Pop l BrianE l Nov 2nd 2011
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Aggressive, daily-traded system that buys dips in 3x tech/S&P/semis, hedges when markets run hot, and falls back to inverse tech, bonds, the US dollar, or defensive sectors in downtrends. Very high risk due to leverage and volatility products.
Daily it does two things. 1) About 80% hunts for short-term “pops.” If tech/S&P/semis look washed out (a 10‑day “too cold/oversold” gauge is <30), it buys their 3x funds (TQQQ/SPXL/SOXL). If they look too hot (>80), it briefly holds UVXY (a fear gauge) as a hedge. If neither, it uses trend/volatility checks to pick offense (TQQQ/TECL/SOXL), defense (SQQQ), or short‑term bonds (BSV/BIL).
2) The other 20% is a trend model: in bull phases it holds TQQQ/SPXL plus some US dollar (USDU); in bear phases it rotates to defensive sectors (XLP/XLU/XLE), the dollar, and T‑bills/short Treasuries (BIL/SHY), with an emergency UVXY overlay when markets get overheated.
Out-of-sample edge: ~56.5% annualized return vs SPY ~22.5%, Calmar ~1.60, with robust hedging. Seeks rapid tech/semis gains while managing risk, delivering higher upside potential than the S&P, though with higher drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.59 | 0.97 | 0.19 | 0.43 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 358.1% | 13.4% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.81 | |
| 260,531.12% | 91.57% | -4.73% | -2.76% | 1.86 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$26,063,111.66Regulatory Fees
$67,491.76
Total Slippage
$458,949.14
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 6, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, leveraged etfs, mean reversion, trend-following, volatility hedging, tech-heavy, daily rebalance, defensive rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks