HYG/TMF | Long Term Success
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily, go risk‑on with TQQQ when bonds beat cash; otherwise rotate among TMF (3x Treasuries), VIXY (vol hedge), TECL (3x Tech), or SHV (cash) using short‑term “hot/cold” signals. Uses 3x ETFs; expect big swings.
Each day it picks one ETF. If broad bonds (BND) have beaten T‑bills (BIL) over ~3 months, it buys TQQQ (3x Nasdaq). Otherwise it runs a safety/contrarian playbook: if stocks just surged hard, buy VIXY (volatility hedge); else favor TMF (3x long Treasuries) when bonds look washed‑out/stronger than cash; if not, buy TECL (3x Tech) on sharp dips, or sit in SHV (cash‑like). Short‑term “hot/cold” is judged by RSI (high=hot, low=cold).
Out-of-sample, the strategy delivers ~25.5% annualized returns vs the S&P at ~19.6%, driven by tech-led risk-on rotations and hedges. But it comes with higher volatility and drawdowns (~45% vs ~19%), and a lower risk-adjusted Sharpe.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.52 | 1.85 | 0.44 | 0.66 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605.37% | 13.78% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.84 | |
| 2,638,395.5% | 95.98% | 10.15% | 10.55% | 1.64 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$263,849,549.58Regulatory Fees
$676,701.11
Total Slippage
$4,845,392.25
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 25, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs, momentum & mean-reversion, volatility hedge, bonds vs cash
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks