HYG/TMF | Long Term Success
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Switches between 3x Nasdaq (TQQQ), 3x long Treasuries (TMF), cash-like T‑bills (SHV), and occasional VIXY/3x Tech (TECL) based on bond-vs-cash momentum, overbought/oversold signals, and simple trend checks. Aims to ride trends and step aside when weak.
Daily, it first asks: have broad bonds (BND) beaten T‑bills (BIL) over ~60 days? If yes, go 100% TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100). If not, use a bond/vol engine: buy VIXY when stocks look extremely hot (RSI>80), favor TMF (3x long Treasuries) when oversold or trending, buy TECL (3x Tech) only on deep tech selloffs, or sit in SHV (T‑bills).
Out-of-sample edge: 25.5% annualized return vs 19.6% for the S&P 500, driven by adaptive switches among leveraged tech, Treasuries, and hedges. Seeks higher upside while using volatility hedges and cash to protect capital in choppy markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.52 | 1.85 | 0.44 | 0.66 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 590.61% | 13.59% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.83 | |
| 2,602,394.59% | 95.49% | 2.53% | 13.2% | 1.64 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$260,249,459.07Regulatory Fees
$698,364.73
Total Slippage
$5,001,048.72
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 25, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend-following, momentum, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, bond-vs-cash regime, multi-asset
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks