holy grail TECL w/ KMLM switcher GLD
Today’s Change (Sep 15, 2026)
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About
A tech‑led, switchable strategy: ride leveraged tech (TECL) in healthy uptrends, but when tech gets overheated or turns down, rotate to inverse Nasdaq (SQQQ) plus a defensive sleeve (bonds via TMV, or metals via GLD/SLV), all sized by recent volatility.
Glossary: RSI=0–100 ‘heat’ gauge; >70 hot, <30 cold. QQQ=Nasdaq‑100. TECL=3× bull tech. SQQQ=3× inverse Nasdaq. TMV=3× inverse long Treasuries. GLD=gold; SLV=silver. SMH=semis. XLK=tech sector. KMLM=managed‑futures trend ETF. USD=cash.
Logic: 3 sleeves (SQQQ+TMV, SQQQ+GLD, SQQQ+SLV) sized by recent vol. If QQQ is trending up and not overheated, hold TECL (or a TECL+cash mix). If overheated or QQQ breaks its short‑term trend, switch to SQQQ plus TMV/GLD/SLV. KMLM beating QQQ tilts away from TECL.
Tech-led, regime-switching strategy hedging with SQQQ + TMV/GLD/SLV to limit drawdowns vs SPY. In out-of-sample, drawdown is smaller (1.78% vs 1.98%) and annualized loss milder (-3.51% vs -9.60%), offering diversification despite weak risk-adjusted stats.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.97 | 1.52 | 0.2 | 0.45 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108.88% | 14.17% | -1.99% | 1.06% | 0.88 | |
| 30,218.28% | 179.5% | -6.77% | -10.34% | 2.09 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,031,828.20Regulatory Fees
$4,274.70
Total Slippage
$36,196.33
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 29, 2026
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged tech, risk-on/risk-off, rsi extremes, inverse-vol weighting, managed-futures signal, gold/silver/bond hedges
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SLV
iShares Silver Trust
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
USD
ProShares Ultra Semiconductors
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks