Holy Grail | KMLM | Simplified | No FR | Longer backtest
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A very aggressive market-timing strategy that leans hard into leveraged Nasdaq/tech when conditions look good, and shifts to bearish Nasdaq bets, Treasury bonds, or cash-like bills when conditions weaken.
This strategy checks the broad U.S. stock market first. If the market looks healthy, it usually buys a turbocharged Nasdaq fund (QLD), but may sit in Treasury bills if tech is losing momentum. If the market looks weak, it rotates among bearish Nasdaq funds, U.S. Treasury bond funds, or occasional oversold bounce trades in leveraged tech/S&P funds. It makes these choices daily.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~77% vs SPY ~33%, with a Calmar ~4.6—strong risk-adjusted upside despite larger drawdowns (~16.8% vs ~8.9%). Dynamic Nasdaq/tech leadership capture aims for faster compounding than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.87 | 0.96 | 0.16 | 0.4 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126.45% | 15.06% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.93 | |
| 23,924.85% | 156.25% | 0.05% | 3.66% | 2.54 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,402,485.12Regulatory Fees
$3,465.61
Total Slippage
$29,156.64
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 5, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, regime switching, leveraged equity, inverse equity, nasdaq, tech, treasuries, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks