Holy Grail | KMLM | Simplified | No FR | Longer backtest
Today’s Change (Apr 6, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily trend-and-momentum switch: ride tech uptrends with leverage (QLD), move to T‑bills when tech underperforms managed‑futures (KMLM), and short tech or own bonds in downtrends. Uses 200‑day trend, RSI, and recent return checks.
Step 1: Is the S&P 500 (SPY) above its 200‑day average? If yes, it mostly buys QLD (a 2x tech-heavy index). If tech (XLK) is weaker than a managed‑futures index (KMLM), it parks in T‑bills (BIL).
If SPY is below its 200‑day, it flips among inverse tech (PSQ = −1x, QID = −2x), long bonds (TLT/IEF/AGG), or brief 3x bounce plays (TECL/SPXL) using RSI (0–100 gauge of recent gains/losses) and short/long averages.
Out-of-sample strategy offers higher upside: ~96.5% annualized return vs S&P 50.6%, with Calmar ~6.34. Expect larger swings and drawdowns (~15%), but potential for tech-driven gains in regime shifts.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.96 | 0.92 | 0.15 | 0.38 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.13% | 13.07% | -4.19% | -3.74% | 0.81 | |
| 20,312.81% | 174.15% | 16.78% | 17.56% | 2.68 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,041,281.18Regulatory Fees
$3,453.44
Total Slippage
$22,597.58
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 5, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend following,tactical asset allocation,leveraged etfs,market timing,risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks