High or Normal Inflation? | Leveraged
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rule‑based, leveraged strategy that classifies market trend and inflation pressure, then rotates among 2x Nasdaq/S&P, inverse hedges, and Treasury ETFs. It aims to ride trends, fade extremes, and adapt to inflation—at the cost of very high volatility and risk.
1) Stock trend: SPY vs its 200‑day avg (below = bear, above = bull).
2) Inflation: long‑Treasury trend (TLT vs 400‑day avg) plus T‑bills vs 7–10yr bonds (BIL vs IEF).
3) Bulls: mostly 2x Nasdaq (QLD), but after sharp drops/spikes or when overheated (RSI, 0–100: <30 washed‑out, >80 hot) it briefly hedges (‑2x QID) or moves to Treasuries (TMF). Bears: favor hedges (QID) or bonds (BSV/TLT), with some rebound tries (QLD/SSO). A sleeve rotates QLD vs 3x Treasury short (TMV).
Out-of-sample: ~39% annualized return vs SPY ~24%, Calmar ~1.07, Sharpe ~1.08. Regime-driven trend-following with inflation hedges. Higher volatility and drawdowns than SPY, but stronger upside potential.
Loading backtest data...
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 15, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged, regime-switching, trend-following, momentum, mean-reversion, inflation-aware, tactical etfs, long/short
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks