High or Normal Inflation? | Leveraged
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A regime-based, leveraged tactical strategy that selects one or two asset bets (often levered ETFs) using momentum and trend signals to navigate inflation regimes and market direction, with cash-equal or tilted allocations and no fixed rebalancing schedule.
The model first assigns the current market context into one of four regimes (bull/bear with high or normal inflation). Within that regime, it runs a sub-strategy to pick one main asset (often a levered equity ETF like QLD or a hedging/inverse option like QID, plus bond proxies). It ranks candidates by momentum (RSI) over a short window, checks price trends against moving averages, and compares recent performance to confirm the choice. It then allocates 100% of capital to the selected asset (or tilts 60/40 in some branches) with no automatic rebalancing unless the regime logic triggers a change. The goal is to exploit regime-appropriate moves with amplified exposure while attempting to avoid false signals via multiple filters. Note: levered ETFs magnify both gains and losses, so this is a high-risk, high-variance approach.
Regime-aware, leveraged strategy that aims to ride inflation regimes. Out-of-sample annualized return ~39% vs S&P 500 ~24%, with higher drawdowns (~37% vs ~19%). Higher upside potential with regime filters and selective hedges.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.43 | 0.93 | 0.19 | 0.43 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 885.88% | 14.56% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.88 | |
| 458,506.93% | 65.01% | -2.07% | -3.07% | 1.54 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$45,860,693.47Regulatory Fees
$68,536.31
Total Slippage
$480,171.55
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 15, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leverage, regime-switching, momentum, rsi, moving-average, tactical allocation, us equities and fixed income, etf-based
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks