HFEA 3.0
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Aggressive, rules-based blend of 3x US stocks and long-term Treasuries that shifts with trends and buys sharp tech sell-offs; can hedge by shorting stocks or bonds in severe downtrends. Backtested since 2010.
It’s a rules-based mix of 3x US stocks and long-term Treasuries that shifts with trends and buys sharp tech sell-offs. Trend = price vs moving averages (e.g., 200-day). RSI is a 0–100 “how oversold” gauge; <30 = washed out. Core is ~55/45 UPRO (3x S&P 500) and TMF/TLT (Treasuries; TMF=3x). If bonds’ long trend is strong, it tilts 55/45 toward the recent 60‑day winner. If stocks fall, it buys tech dips with TECL (3x tech) or hedges with SPXU; if bonds are weak, it may short them via TMV.
Out-of-sample upside: ~27.5% annualized vs SPY’s 22.3%, with dynamic hedges and tech-dip plays aimed at higher long-run gains. Expect higher drawdowns, but Calmar near 1.0 indicates solid risk-adjusted upside versus the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 31, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, trend following, momentum, rsi dip-buying, stocks and treasuries, long/short hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks