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Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules-based rotation: a 200-day S&P 500 trend sets risk-on/off, then bond and dollar trends plus simple momentum/volatility checks pick among SPY/tech/semis or defensive USD, market-neutral, gold and commodities.
Daily steps:
1) If the S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 200-day average, go risk-on; else risk-off.
2) Risk-on: buy the stronger of SPY or a macro engine that, using bond (TLT) and dollar (UUP) trends, rotates into semiconductors (SMH), the U.S. dollar (USDU), a market-neutral fund (BTAL), 2x stock funds (QLD/SSO), or commodities.
3) Risk-off: if Nasdaq (QQQ) isn’t very oversold (RSI>30), choose gold (GLD), consumer staples (XLP), or that engine; if very oversold, try a tech bounce (XLK).
RSI ≈ recent strength; moving averages = trend.
Dynamic regime-based rotation beats the S&P in out-of-sample risk-adjusted terms: OOS return 31.45% vs 24.62%; max drawdown 8.41% vs 18.76%; Sharpe 1.72 vs 1.47; Calmar 3.74. Higher upside with smoother downside.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, momentum, risk-on/risk-off, tactical asset allocation, macro (bonds & dollar), volatility/drawdown filters, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
GDXJ
VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
OILK
ProShares K-1 Free Crude Oil ETF
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks