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About
A daily, rules-based rotation: own stocks (SPY/tech) when trends are healthy; when they’re not, rotate into staples, energy, the U.S. dollar, market‑neutral and commodities. Uses bond and dollar trends and a TIP vs STIP signal to dial risk up or down.
1) Check trend: If S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 200‑day average, stay risk‑on; if below, get defensive.
2) In risk‑on, pick SPY or a tech sleeve by short‑term strength (RSI = 0–100 heat gauge; >30 = not washed‑out).
3) In defense, split across staples (XLP), energy (XLE) and a macro sleeve.
4) The macro sleeve uses tech, bond and dollar trends, plus TIP vs STIP, to choose QQQ/levered stock or USD (USDU), market‑neutral (BTAL) and commodities (PDBC/OILK, XLB/GDXJ).
Edge: out-of-sample return ≈25.2% vs 24.6%, drawdown ≈15.2% vs 18.8%, Calmar ≈1.66, Sharpe ≈1.45 vs 1.47. Daily regime-switching delivers more upside with less risk than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.13 | 0.73 | 0.53 | 0.73 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 227.07% | 14.09% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.8 | |
| 662.87% | 25.37% | -6.22% | -4.34% | 1.3 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$76,287.49Regulatory Fees
$297.00
Total Slippage
$1,830.97
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, regime-switching, trend-following, multi-asset, defensive overlay, sector rotation, dollar/commodities tilt
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
GDXJ
VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF
Stocks
OILK
ProShares K-1 Free Crude Oil ETF
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
STIP
iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks