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About
A daily, rules-based rotation: own stocks (SPY/tech) when trends are healthy; when they’re not, rotate into staples, energy, the U.S. dollar, market‑neutral and commodities. Uses bond and dollar trends and a TIP vs STIP signal to dial risk up or down.
1) Check trend: If S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 200‑day average, stay risk‑on; if below, get defensive.
2) In risk‑on, pick SPY or a tech sleeve by short‑term strength (RSI = 0–100 heat gauge; >30 = not washed‑out).
3) In defense, split across staples (XLP), energy (XLE) and a macro sleeve.
4) The macro sleeve uses tech, bond and dollar trends, plus TIP vs STIP, to choose QQQ/levered stock or USD (USDU), market‑neutral (BTAL) and commodities (PDBC/OILK, XLB/GDXJ).
Out-of-sample, this regime-switching strategy delivers stronger risk-adjusted returns than SPY: Calmar 1.49, Sharpe 1.33, beta 0.84, max drawdown 15.2% vs 18.8%, annualized ~22.6% vs ~23.6%. Less risk, solid upside.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, regime-switching, trend-following, multi-asset, defensive overlay, sector rotation, dollar/commodities tilt
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
GDXJ
VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF
Stocks
OILK
ProShares K-1 Free Crude Oil ETF
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
STIP
iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks