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About
A daily, rules-based rotation: own stocks (SPY/tech) when trends are healthy; when they’re not, rotate into staples, energy, the U.S. dollar, market‑neutral and commodities. Uses bond and dollar trends and a TIP vs STIP signal to dial risk up or down.
1) Check trend: If S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 200‑day average, stay risk‑on; if below, get defensive.
2) In risk‑on, pick SPY or a tech sleeve by short‑term strength (RSI = 0–100 heat gauge; >30 = not washed‑out).
3) In defense, split across staples (XLP), energy (XLE) and a macro sleeve.
4) The macro sleeve uses tech, bond and dollar trends, plus TIP vs STIP, to choose QQQ/levered stock or USD (USDU), market‑neutral (BTAL) and commodities (PDBC/OILK, XLB/GDXJ).
Out-of-sample edge: about 25.2% annualized return with a 15.2% max drawdown vs SPY's 24.6% and 18.8%. Calmar ~1.66; Sharpe ~1.45 (vs ~1.47). A disciplined, regime-switching strategy aiming for steadier, higher-quality growth.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.14 | 0.73 | 0.51 | 0.71 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 246.51% | 14.67% | 9.27% | 4.88% | 0.83 | |
| 718.4% | 26.05% | 7.82% | 1.39% | 1.32 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$81,839.97Regulatory Fees
$307.94
Total Slippage
$1,899.35
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, regime-switching, trend-following, multi-asset, defensive overlay, sector rotation, dollar/commodities tilt
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
GDXJ
VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF
Stocks
OILK
ProShares K-1 Free Crude Oil ETF
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
STIP
iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks