HEFA 8% Risk on Risk off 5/100 SPY #1
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A daily rules-based strategy that shifts between leveraged US stock ETFs and defensive hedges (Treasuries, cash, dollar, inverse/volatility) using S&P 500 trend lines, “hot/cold” momentum gauges, volatility, and bond trends to decide when to press or protect.
Each day it checks simple “trend lines” on the S&P 500. If short‑term is weak, it uses a cautious playbook: in a long‑term uptrend it holds turbo S&P; if overheated it flips to a volatility hedge; if trends are poor it picks bond/stock hedges by recent swings. If short‑term is strong, it runs an HFEA core: in calm, 55% 3x S&P + 45% 3x long Treasuries; if fear (VIX) spikes, go 3x bear; if bonds lead, rotate among 3x tech/semis/fin/Nasdaq/S&P; if rates rise, tilt to cash/US dollar/shorts.
Out-of-sample edge: 26.5% annualized return vs SPY’s 22.5%, thanks to dynamic hedging that targets bigger upside in uptrends while protecting in turmoil. Note: higher drawdowns can occur in severe markets; oos Sharpe trails SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.51 | 1.4 | 0.21 | 0.45 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 362.88% | 13.4% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.82 | |
| 96,342.53% | 75.78% | -3.16% | -5.45% | 1.33 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$9,644,253.31Regulatory Fees
$36,521.28
Total Slippage
$245,015.37
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 22, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend-following, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs, momentum, volatility filter, us equities, treasuries, inverse etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TBF
ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks