HEFA 8% Risk on Risk off 5/100 SPY #1
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily trend switch: ride strong stock trends with 3x S&P/tech exposure (and a 55/45 stocks‑plus‑Treasuries mix in calm, falling‑rate regimes); when trends weaken or stress rises, move to T‑bills, Treasuries, the dollar, or inverse/volatility hedges.
Each day it checks the S&P 500’s short‑term vs 100‑day average. If trend is up, it leans into fast‑moving 3x stock funds (SPXL/UPRO; sometimes TECL/SOXL/TQQQ/FAS). If trend or stability worsens, it shifts to T‑bills (BIL), Treasuries (TMF/TMV/TBF), the U.S. dollar (USDU), inverse S&P (SPXS), or volatility (UVXY). Why these? Stocks for growth; bonds/dollar/volatility to cushion drops. RSI = a hot/cold speed gauge; moving averages = trend filters.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets 26.5% annualized return vs SPY’s 22.5%, using regime-switching to ride rallies and hedge with bonds/USD/volatility—aiming higher growth with adaptive risk management (built-in downside controls).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.21 | 0.45 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 355.73% | 13.22% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.81 | |
| 89,987.53% | 74.54% | -7.59% | -7.27% | 1.32 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$9,008,753.03Regulatory Fees
$36,794.91
Total Slippage
$246,921.99
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 22, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical allocation, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TBF
ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks