HEFA 8% Risk on Risk off 5/100 SPY #1
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A fast-moving market-timing strategy that swings between aggressive 3x stock funds and defensive hedges like bonds, cash, inverse funds, and volatility trades based on market trend, bond strength, and fear signals.
This strategy checks whether the U.S. stock market looks healthy or shaky, mainly using SPY (a fund that tracks the S&P 500).
If conditions look good, it often buys aggressive 3x stock funds like UPRO, SPXL, TQQQ, TECL, SOXL, or FAS.
If conditions look bad, it may switch into Treasury-bond funds, cash-like T-bills, a stronger-U.S.-dollar fund, or even funds that rise when stocks fall, bonds fall, or market fear jumps.
In short: it tries to press hard when trends look favorable and quickly defend when they do not.
Out-of-sample return ~21.9% vs SPY 21.1%, from adaptive trend-following and hedges that aim for upside in strong regimes and defense in risk-off periods. Note: drawdowns ~65% vs ~19%, so higher risk tolerance is required.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.47 | 1.34 | 0.19 | 0.44 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 429.33% | 13.89% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.85 | |
| 83,233.56% | 69.02% | 4.98% | -10.04% | 1.26 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$8,333,356.43Regulatory Fees
$31,107.86
Total Slippage
$269,391.62
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 22, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Risk-on/risk-off, tactical asset allocation, leveraged etfs, market timing, trend following, mean reversion, hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TBF
ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks