Hedged TQQQ FTLT (Long Backtest)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A mostly defensive portfolio (75% Treasuries + staples) with a 25% tactical sleeve that rides tech strength using leveraged ETFs and quickly hedges or flips short when markets overheat, break trend, or suffer sharp drawdowns.
75% stays defensive in IEI (Treasuries) and XLP (consumer staples). 25% is an active sleeve that rides tech uptrends with leveraged ETFs (TQQQ/TECL/SOXL/UPRO) and flips to hedges (SQQQ/PSQ, UVXY/VIXY, TMF) when risk rises.
Signals: SPY over its 200‑day = bull; under = bear. RSI(10) is a 0–100 speedometer of recent moves; >80 overheated (hedge), <30 washed‑out (buy dips). Price vs 20‑day guides trend. Big 2–12 mo drops cut risk. If bonds (TLT) outrun inverse tech (SQQQ), go long; otherwise hedge/short.
Out-of-sample, this strategy offers beta ~0.73, drawdowns ~18% (vs ~18.8% S&P), Calmar ~1.18, and ~21.2% annualized return—close to the S&P but with better downside protection and selective tech exposure.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 7, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 7%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend following, leveraged etfs, risk management, hedged tech, volatility hedge, bonds
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks