Hedged TQQQ FTLT (Long Backtest)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A barbelled, tech-tilted plan: 75% defensive (Treasuries and staples), 25% actively flips between leveraged tech, dip-buys, and hedges/shorts using a 200-day trend filter, short-term RSI, and recent return triggers.
75% stays in calmer stuff: mid-term US Treasuries (IEI) and Consumer Staples stocks (XLP). The other 25% is tactical. It checks trend (is the S&P 500 above its 200-day average?) and short-term heat/cold (RSI, a gauge of how overbought/oversold prices are). In uptrends it rides tech (TQQQ/TECL), but if things look too hot it briefly hedges with fear ETFs (UVXY/VIXY) or long Treasuries (TMF). In downtrends it buys big dips or switches to inverse QQQ (PSQ/SQQQ).
Balanced core strategy with lower beta and robust risk control. OOS drawdown ~18.0% vs SPY ~18.8%; OOS return ~21.2% vs 22.5%; OOS Sharpe ~1.26 vs 1.41; Calmar ~1.18—delivers solid risk-adjusted gains and selective tech upside with less market risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.26 | 0.6 | 0.32 | 0.57 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 581.31% | 14.54% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.9 | |
| 11,674.56% | 40.14% | 0.57% | 0.6% | 2 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,177,455.88Regulatory Fees
$1,344.02
Total Slippage
$8,260.42
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 7, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 7%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged tech, trend-following, mean reversion, volatility hedge, regime switching, bonds/staples core
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks