Hedged TQQQ FTLT (Long Backtest)
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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About
A mostly defensive portfolio that parks 75% in bonds and staples, while actively using the remaining 25% to trade aggressive tech, hedges, and bearish Nasdaq positions based on market trend and momentum signals.
This strategy keeps most of its money in safer holdings: medium-term U.S. government bonds (IEI) and consumer-staples stocks (XLP).
With a smaller 25% slice, it actively trades mostly tech-related funds. When the market trend looks healthy, it leans into aggressive Nasdaq/technology funds like TQQQ or TECL. When markets look overheated, it may buy volatility hedges like UVXY/VIXY or Treasury exposure. When markets weaken, it may buy sharp dips, reduce risk, or even bet against the Nasdaq using PSQ or SQQQ.
Out-of-sample ~21% annualized return with lower beta (~0.77) and smaller drawdowns (~18%). A 75/25 mix—defensive IEI/XLP core plus a tactical tech sleeve—offers Nasdaq upside with steadier, risk-adjusted gains vs the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.26 | 0.61 | 0.33 | 0.57 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 679.17% | 14.92% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.93 | |
| 13,794.91% | 39.69% | -0.29% | 2.13% | 1.99 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,389,491.47Regulatory Fees
$1,238.29
Total Slippage
$9,442.89
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 7, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 7%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged etfs, hedged equity, nasdaq/technology rotation, defensive core, regime switching
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks