Hedged Regime Switching - RSI Hedge
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Daily, rules-based “risk-on/risk-off” system using a 0–100 momentum gauge (RSI) and trend filters to hedge crashes (UVXY), buy dips with leveraged stock ETFs, short weak markets with inverse ETFs, or sit in cash-like T‑bills.
Rebalances daily. It flips between: stocks (SPY/QQQ), leveraged bulls (QLD, SSO, TQQQ, SPXL), inverse bears (PSQ, QID, SQQQ, SPXU), cash‑like T‑bills (BIL), bonds (SHY, BSV, TLT), dollar (UUP), and volatility (UVXY).
It reads RSI (0–100; >70 overheated, <30 washed‑out) and trends. Overheated/panic → hedge or go defensive. Uptrends → buy the recent laggard. Downtrends → short or hide in T‑bills.
OOS: ~38.4% annualized return vs SPY’s ~23.2%, strong risk metrics Calmar 1.44, Sharpe 1.25. Drawdowns higher: 26.7% vs 18.8%, but regime-switching aims to protect in crashes and capture uptrends.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.61 | 0.37 | 0.03 | 0.17 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605.13% | 14.55% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 522,288.05% | 81.39% | -3.41% | -3.49% | 1.77 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$52,238,804.58Regulatory Fees
$241,079.18
Total Slippage
$1,709,943.66
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 27, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, regime switching, rsi/trend signals, volatility hedge, leveraged/inverse etfs, daily rebalance, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks