Hedged Regime Switching - RSI Hedge
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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About
A daily market-timing strategy that shifts among stock funds, bearish funds, bonds, cash-like Treasury bills, and a volatility hedge based on whether the market looks strong, weak, overheated, or panicky.
This strategy checks the market every day and tries to decide: Is it calm, overheated, weakening, or in panic?
It uses simple trend and “stretch” tests on the S&P 500 (SPY) and Nasdaq (QQQ). If markets look dangerously hot or volatility spikes, it may buy UVXY as a crash hedge. In stronger markets, it buys the most beaten-down choice from stock funds or bonds. In weaker markets, it rotates into defensive assets, bearish funds, or very short-term Treasury bills (BIL).
Out-of-sample annualized return 23.08% vs the S&P 21.56%, with beta ~0.73 and a Calmar ~0.87. A daily, regime-switching, risk-managed strategy uses hedges and rotations to capture upside while curbing large drawdowns vs. the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.57 | 0.39 | 0.03 | 0.18 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 712.38% | 14.97% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.92 | |
| 474,813.62% | 75.73% | -10.44% | -14.06% | 1.69 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$47,491,361.71Regulatory Fees
$212,137.54
Total Slippage
$2,006,924.34
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 27, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime switching, tactical allocation, momentum, mean reversion, hedged, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs, volatility hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks