Hedged Regime Switching 2.2
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily market-timing strategy that tries to detect crashes early, hedge with volatility funds, and otherwise switch between growth, bonds, the dollar, or defensive bearish positions based on trend and stress signals.
This strategy checks the market every day and asks: “Are stocks acting dangerously hot or volatile?” If yes, it shifts into crash hedges like UVXY or defensive positions.
If not, it judges whether the market trend is healthy, weakening, or bearish. In strong trends it buys the most beaten-down broad market fund; in weak trends it prefers bonds or the U.S. dollar; in bear markets it either bets on a bounce or moves into defensive/short positions.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~24.2% vs SPY ~21.8%, with lower beta (~0.65) and a built-in volatility hedge. It aims to outperform the S&P by riding strong trends while protecting during crashes, offering stronger upside and diversification.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.48 | 0.28 | 0.02 | 0.15 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 719.04% | 15.08% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.93 | |
| 123,813.63% | 60.89% | -1.05% | -1.64% | 1.64 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$12,391,363.33Regulatory Fees
$43,674.67
Total Slippage
$390,934.85
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 27, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime switching, hedged, tactical asset allocation, mean reversion, trend following, defensive, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks