HEDGED & LEVERAGED - BONDS & STOCKS - V4.2 Replace UPRO with TECL, TQQQ, and SOXL
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
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About
Uses TLT (Treasuries) as a market gauge to rotate daily among: 3x tech plus 3x long Treasuries and a hedged S&P mix; or 3x short Treasuries plus 3x Dow; or a 75% tilt to the best recent performer (25% cash). Heavy use of triple‑leveraged ETFs; high risk.
Daily it checks TLT (long‑term US Treasury bonds). If TLT is above its 150‑day average, split equally across 3x tech (TECL/TQQQ/SOXL), 3x long Treasuries (TMF), and a hedged S&P fund (PHDG). If TLT is below its 23‑day average, split between 3x short Treasuries (TMV) and 3x Dow (UDOW). Otherwise, put 75% into the top 30‑day performer from TMF, UPRO (3x S&P), TMV, MOAT, BRK/B, USMV; keep 25% cash. Triple‑leveraged funds are very volatile.
Out-of-sample: 27.7% annualized return vs SPY’s 23.2%, over 1127 days. A dynamic, tech-heavy, rate-hedged strategy aimed at higher growth, but with higher volatility and drawdowns (41% vs 19%). Potential strong upside with risk controls.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.26 | 1.62 | 0.55 | 0.74 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 514.54% | 14.88% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.91 | |
| 32,996.55% | 55.79% | 11.13% | 9.62% | 1.38 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,309,654.85Regulatory Fees
$10,247.30
Total Slippage
$64,598.29
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 19, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, trend following, momentum, tech/nasdaq/semiconductors, treasuries long/short, s&p/dow, hedged equity, quality/low-volatility
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BRK/B
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class B
Stocks
MOAT
VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF
Stocks
PHDG
Invesco S&P 500 Downside Hedged ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UDOW
ProShares UltraPro Dow 30
Stocks