HEDGED & LEVERAGED - BONDS & STOCKS - V2.1.1 - BT 12-6-2012 Replace UPRO with TECL, TQQQ, and SOXL
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily, rules-based rotation that uses bond and stock trends to toggle between leveraged tech/semis, Treasuries, hedges, or T‑bills. Bonds’ trend sets the backdrop; stocks’ trend gates risk‑on. When trends fade, it picks recent winners or parks in cash-like bills.
Check TLT trend (above ~150‑day avg?).
- If yes, check SPY trend (above ~200‑day?).
• Both up: split across TECL/TQQQ/SOXL (3x tech/semis), TMF (3x Treasuries), and PHDG (hedged S&P).
• Stocks not up: hold TLT.
- If TLT not up:
• TLT weak: buy the 2 best 5‑day performers from TMV (short Treasuries), UDOW (3x Dow), or BIL (T‑bills).
• Else: put 75% in the 30‑day leader from TMF, UPRO, TMV, MOAT, BRK.B, USMV.
Rebalance daily.
Out-of-sample upside: about 30% annualized vs SPY’s ~23%. A rules-based regime that blends leveraged tech exposure, Treasuries, hedges, and cash for disciplined growth. Higher long-term potential, with occasional larger drawdowns than the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.34 | 0.73 | 0.16 | 0.4 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 514.54% | 14.88% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.91 | |
| 18,797.09% | 49.26% | 11.13% | 9.62% | 1.45 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,889,709.08Regulatory Fees
$7,663.95
Total Slippage
$47,958.12
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 17, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend following,tactical allocation,leveraged etfs,us stocks,us treasuries,momentum,hedged,daily rebalance,risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BRK/B
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class B
Stocks
MOAT
VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF
Stocks
PHDG
Invesco S&P 500 Downside Hedged ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks