HEDGED & LEVERAGED - BONDS & STOCKS - V2.1.1 - BT 12-6-2012 Replace UPRO with TECL, TQQQ, and SOXL
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily trend-and-momentum rotation using leveraged ETFs. Bonds set the master risk regime; tech-heavy when both bonds and stocks trend up, defensive in Treasuries or T‑Bills when risk rises, and otherwise backs recent winners with a cash buffer.
Each day it checks trends using moving averages (today’s price vs the average over the last 150/200/23 days). If long‑term Treasuries and stocks are both rising, it splits across 3x tech, 3x Treasuries, and a hedged S&P fund. If stocks are weak, it parks in Treasuries. If Treasuries are weak, it either holds recent short‑term winners (inverse Treasuries, 3x Dow, or T‑Bills) or puts 75% in the single best 30‑day performer from a mixed stock/bond list.
Out-of-sample: ~29% annualized return vs SPY ~23%, with Calmar ~0.84 and a bond-led risk regime that rotates into leveraged tech. Higher upside, but expect larger drawdowns in bear markets.
Loading backtest data...
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 17, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend following, momentum, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, stocks & treasuries, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BRK/B
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class B
Stocks
MOAT
VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF
Stocks
PHDG
Invesco S&P 500 Downside Hedged ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks