HEDGED & LEVERAGED - BONDS & STOCKS - V2.1.1 - BT 12-6-2012 Replace UPRO with TECL, TQQQ, and SOXL
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily-rebalanced, regime-driven mix of hedged, levered stock bets (tech/semis), bond exposure, and hedges, switching between risk-on tech bets in bull markets and safer bonds in bear markets, with short-term momentum screens to emphasize the top performers and a built-in downside hedge.
This strategy rebalances every day between a mix of leveraged stock bets and bond protections, guided by simple trend checks. If the market (tracked by SPY) is in an uptrend (price above its 200-day average), it tilts toward high-upside bets on technology and semiconductors using 3x leveraged ETFs (TECL, TQQQ, SOXL) plus a Treasury bull (TMF) and a hedging position (PHDG) for protection. If the market looks weak (SPY below its 200-day average), it shifts toward bonds (TLT) to dampen risk. It then looks at how bonds are behaving (TLT against its own 150-day average). If bonds look healthy, it may stay in the higher-risk tilt; if bonds are weak, it shifts into a defensive mix that can include additional levered or inverse positions (TMV, UPRO-style bets replaced by the tech/semis trio, MOAT, BRK/B, USMV) and selects the top performer(s) based on short-term returns to overweight by a larger share. Cash-like assets (BIL) are used to balance and keep a practical liquidity baseline. In short: the model tries to ride markets with amplified upside during strong regimes while applying hedges and safer assets during downturns, rebalanced daily to adapt to changing conditions.
Out-of-sample return ~29% vs SPY ~23%; levered tech bets with regime hedges seek bigger upside, with bonds hedging declines. Expect higher drawdowns (~34% vs ~19%), but stronger long-run potential (Calmar ~0.84).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.33 | 0.74 | 0.16 | 0.4 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 495.99% | 14.43% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.88 | |
| 18,023.9% | 48.08% | -3.36% | 12.33% | 1.42 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,812,389.95Regulatory Fees
$7,986.51
Total Slippage
$50,033.24
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 17, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Hedged, leveraged, dynamic asset allocation, bonds & stocks, risk management, rule-based
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BRK/B
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class B
Stocks
MOAT
VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF
Stocks
PHDG
Invesco S&P 500 Downside Hedged ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks