HEDGED & LEVERAGED - BONDS & STOCKS - V2.1.1 - BT 12-6-2012 Replace UPRO with TECL, TQQQ, and SOXL
Today’s Change (Aug 7, 2026)
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About
Daily trend-and-momentum rotation using leveraged ETFs. Bonds set the master risk regime; tech-heavy when both bonds and stocks trend up, defensive in Treasuries or T‑Bills when risk rises, and otherwise backs recent winners with a cash buffer.
Each day it checks trends using moving averages (today’s price vs the average over the last 150/200/23 days). If long‑term Treasuries and stocks are both rising, it splits across 3x tech, 3x Treasuries, and a hedged S&P fund. If stocks are weak, it parks in Treasuries. If Treasuries are weak, it either holds recent short‑term winners (inverse Treasuries, 3x Dow, or T‑Bills) or puts 75% in the single best 30‑day performer from a mixed stock/bond list.
Out-of-sample: ~29.9% annualized return vs SPY’s 23.2%. Levered tech/bond mix with hedges and cash aims to capture tech upside while disciplining downside. Higher upside, but larger drawdowns and lower Sharpe.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.33 | 0.75 | 0.16 | 0.4 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 586.52% | 15.18% | 2.3% | 5% | 0.93 | |
| 21,322.63% | 48.23% | 1.55% | 7.51% | 1.42 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,142,263.27Regulatory Fees
$7,348.42
Total Slippage
$59,447.61
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 17, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend following, momentum, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, stocks & treasuries, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BRK/B
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class B
Stocks
MOAT
VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF
Stocks
PHDG
Invesco S&P 500 Downside Hedged ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks