Hedge + Step By Step 0009 + KMLM INV VOL WM 74 | Serenity Ratio weighted
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
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About
A daily, rule‑driven strategy that rides tech/semiconductor uptrends but quickly shifts to crash hedges (VIX, inverse ETFs, Treasuries/T‑bills) when stress hits. KMLM’s trend acts as a safety check—especially against semiconductors. High risk, actively managed.
Every day the system asks: is the market hot, cold, or crashing? It:
- Rides uptrends with fast‑moving tech/semis (often 3x ETFs).
- If things look overheated or panic‑like, it flips to hedges (VIX funds, inverse stock ETFs, Treasuries, or T‑bills).
- KMLM (a trend‑following futures ETF) is used as a cross‑check for the semiconductor sleeve: if KMLM’s trend looks better than chips, it dials down chip risk.
- “RSI” is a quick 0–100 ‘hot/cold’ score; >~80 is stretched up, <~30 is washed out.
- Position sizes scale down when volatility rises to keep risk more balanced.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~37.6% vs S&P ~27.3%; Calmar ~3.0. Seeks tech upside with crash hedges and KMLM cross-checks for risk control. Higher upside, but expect larger drawdowns in stressed periods.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.93 | 0.87 | 0.15 | 0.38 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58.91% | 13.02% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.78 | |
| 3,841.29% | 163.93% | -3.38% | 3.59% | 2.62 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$394,129.46Regulatory Fees
$1,335.83
Total Slippage
$8,227.48
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 12, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Hedged momentum, sector rotation, volatility hedging, leveraged etfs, bond momentum, managed futures tilt, tactical allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 77 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
AGQ
ProShares Ultra Silver
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
COKE
Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
DRN
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X Shares
Stocks