Hedge + Step By Step 0009 + KMLM INV VOL WM 74 | Serenity Ratio weighted
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily, hedge-driven multi-ETF framework that blends volatility hedges, levered long/bond tilts, and sector rotations to protect against drops while seeking upside; uses many signals (RSI, moving averages, drawdowns) and a Serenity Ratio for allocation, with occasional use of niche ETFs like KMLM as inputs.
- The system rebalances daily, selecting a diversified mix of ETFs to hedge risk and seek upside.
- It uses many nested rules that compare RSI values, moving averages, and drawdowns across a broad universe of tickers (including SPY, QQQ, XLK, XLF, XLI, XLV, XLP, XLE, TMF, TMV, UVXY, SVXY, SOXL, SOXS, TQQQ, TECL, SPXL, UVIX, and more).
- A core theme is to place hedges (volatility-related ETFs like UVXY or UVXY twins, and inverse/short vehicles like SVXY) when market momentum or volatility signals indicate overheating or stress.
- Simultaneously, the model rotates into opportunistic long exposures across sectors and megatrends (technology, semiconductors, healthcare, energy, financials) using levered or standard ETFs to capture upside when conditions look favorable.
- A separate block explicitly pursues short SPY exposure under certain bond/momentum signals to tilt the portfolio toward risk-off or neutral regimes.
- The weighting is driven by a “Serenity Ratio” scheme that mixes several blocks with different risk budgets (e.g., 70/100, 90/100, 40/100 weights across groups).
- The approach includes specialized sub-strategies (e.g., “Black Swan Catcher,” “TMF Momentum,” “Hedged Sector Rotator,” “20/60 Machine”) intended to diversify signals and avoid overfitting to a single regime.
- KMLM appears as a reference input in one conditional check, indicating the strategy can incorporate obscure ETFs to calibrate signals or serve as a benchmark. The gist for a layperson: expect a lot of hedging when fear is high and selective, leverage-backed bets when the market shows breadth and momentum. Overall, it’s a risk-managed, dynamically adjusted mix of hedges and growth bets rather than a simple market bet.
An active, hedge-driven multi-ETF strategy designed to diversify SPY exposure, blend hedges with growth bets, and adapt across regimes. In out-of-sample testing it delivers ~15% annualized return with built-in risk management, complementing the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.88 | 0.85 | 0.14 | 0.37 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54.12% | 11.59% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.71 | |
| 3,587.04% | 149.57% | -7.12% | -8.8% | 2.47 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$368,704.05Regulatory Fees
$1,432.25
Total Slippage
$9,129.07
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 12, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Hedged multi-asset, leveraged etfs, volatility hedging, sector rotation, quantitative rules
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 77 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
AGQ
ProShares Ultra Silver
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
COKE
Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DRN
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X ETF
Stocks