Hedge Hog'd TQQQ - 2013 BT
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A rule-based, multi-asset, leveraged-growth strategy that tilts into Nasdaq-levered exposures (like TQQQ) when momentum is positive, then trims risk with a diverse hedge set (VIX proxies, anti-beta funds, and bond hedges) to guard against volatility and drawdowns. Designed to ride long-term growth while cushioning downturns through a complex, signal-driven framework.
- The strategy starts with cash-equivalent positioning and builds a core long exposure to leveraged Nasdaq and tech equities (like TQQQ, TECL, SOXL, SPXL, etc.) when momentum signals look favorable.
- It uses momentum and trend checks (moving averages, RSI-like readings) on a basket of broad-market proxies (SPY, QQQ, IOO, etc.) to decide whether to stay in the leveraged bets or rotate into hedges.
- When risk signals heat up (high RSI readings, weaker cross-asset momentum, or volatility indicators rising), it shifts a meaningful portion of capital into hedging tools: VIX futures proxies (VIXY, UVXY; SVXY as inverse), anti-beta funds (BTAL), and bond-related hedges (TLT, BIL, SHV, SHY).
- A dedicated hedged sleeve (VIX Blend+) assigns most weight to VIXY with a smaller portion to a bond-hedged alternative (TLT/BTAL) to dampen equity volatility exposure.
- There are momentum-based “bear/long-duration” hedges (TMV, TMF) that aim to protect against drawdown in extreme regimes by tilting to bear-on-treasury or related hedges; these are activated when longer-term momentum signals favor protective positions.
- The system often uses longer lookback horizons (e.g., 60–200 days) to guide “scaling in/out” decisions and cross-asset hedging. The overall process is heavily rule-based, with weights and assets adjusted by a cascade of IF/THEN checks referencing a broad slate of assets.
- The net exposure is a dynamic blend of leveraged growth bets and a multi-layer hedging framework intended to preserve capital while seeking upside in favorable regimes.
Out-of-sample, this Nasdaq‑tilt strategy uses hedges to chase big upside while dampening risk. It shows ~34% annualized return vs ~18% for the S&P, with Calmar ~1.38. It offers stronger upside and risk protection in volatility, though drawdowns can be larger.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.94 | 0.45 | 0.05 | 0.22 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 519.1% | 14.27% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.88 | |
| 42,368,569.87% | 158% | -2.37% | -11% | 2.88 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,236,866,987.47Regulatory Fees
$12,264,751.73
Total Slippage
$88,177,338.02
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 19, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged equity growth; momentum-driven; volatility hedging; multi-asset tactical allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 46 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
EDV
Vanguard World Funds Extended Duration ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks